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Conferência Internacional
«China 3.0 – What does the new China think?»
30 | Novembro | 2012
Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian

«China 3.0 – What does the new China think?»

30 November | 15h00, Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation

The Chinese like to think of history progressing in 30-year cycles. They think of China 1.0 as the years of Mao Zedong. China 2.0 was the China that began with Deng Xiaoping in 1978 and spanned a generation until the financial crisis of 2008.
Since the global financial meltdown of 2008, China has been facing a crisis of success as each of the three goals of Deng’s era – affluence, stability and power – is seen as the source of new problems. The incredible achievements of the past have built up a powerful constituency for each of the policies of the Deng era but sticking to them now runs the risk of being self-defeating. But unlike during earlier periods, today reformers do not have international models to guide them. For today’s intellectuals, it is not just the Beijing consensus that is broken; the models of the West are even more discredited.
This debate briefly burst out of the academy and into the staid realm of the CCP. In 2011, the longstanding power struggle between the so-called «princelings» and the «technocrats» became entangled with a real battle of ideas when two provincial leaders, Bo Xilai and Wang Yang, sought to make their provinces of Guangdong and Chongqing into competing archetypes for China 3.0. Even though this debate was stifled by Bo Xilai’s demise, the Chinese society is still leaving behind Deng Xiaoping’s axiom of ‘Do not debate!’


Programme:
Introduction
Teresa Gouveia, Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation
Carlos Gaspar, IPRI-UNL

Panel I | China’s economic reforms and political change
Moderator: Martim Cabral, deputy director at the news channel SIC-Notícias
Panelists:
Pan Wei, Beijing University
Cui Zhiyuan, Tsinghua University

Panel II | China’s grand strategy
Moderator: Teresa de Sousa, ECFR Council member and European and foreign policy analyst in newspaper Público
Panelists:
Shi Yinhong, Renmin University
Jonas Parello-Plesner, ECFR Senior Policy Fellow

At the end of each panel there will be questions from the audience.


The panel debate will take place in English with translation into Portuguese.
Língua de Trabalho: inglês, com tradução simultânea.



Profiles:
Cui Zhiyuan: One of the highest profile 'New Left' thinkers in China who is a professor at Tsinghua University. He is one the most visible advocate for a rebalancing of China's economic model towards domestic consumption and became the leading intellectual champion of the "Chongqing Model".

Pan Wei: A prominent "Neo-Conservative" thinker who teaches at Beijing University. He has written controversial articles about why China should avoid multi-party elections and in favor of a "consultative rule of law" regime.

Shi Yinhong: One of the best known voices on China's grand strategy. He is a professor at Renmin University and is also an official adviser to the State Council. He is a tough realist but he caused controversy by arguing for more conciliatory approach to Japan a few years ago.

Jonas Parello-Plesner: Senior Policy Fellow at ECFR. Previously, he was Director of a development NGO with activities in Asia and served as Denmark’s Senior Advisor on China and North East Asia from 2005-2009. At ECFR, he has co-authored briefs on China and Germany: a new special relationship? and the European Foreign Policy Scorecard 2010 and 2011 (China sections).

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